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TD-SCDMA Rollout and Policy Changes Are Clouding China's Telecommunications Operator Space
Updated:2008/11/25 09:54
Europe : Research and Markets announced the addition of IE Market Research Corp.'s new report "China Telecommunications Industry Outlook: Industry Strategic Outlook 2008" to their offering. Recent regulatory and competitive changes in the Chinese telecommunications industry have led to a great deal of debate among industry analysts about the future of one of the fastest growing and dynamic telecommunications sector in the world. In this report, we analyze the competitive, technology, and regulatory issues currently affecting China's telecommunications operator space with a view to providing strategic guidance to our clients. Our analysis is based on actual interviews we conducted with regulators, industry analysts, representatives at carriers, and various industry groups. Key strategic findings of this report are: Provincial Branches of the three carriers will engage in price competition in 2008-09 We believe that price competition among provincial branches of the three carriers — China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom — is only a matter of time. China Telecom now offers its CDMA customers with handset subsidies, free voice calls between their fixed and mobile phones and the usual free wireless on-net minutes calling. Although there is no sign of an aggressive price war yet in other provinces, given that China Telecom has ample capacity on its fixed line and CDMA networks and the smallest subscriber base, we expect it has the most incentive to compete for market share gains based on a full scale price restructuring. We continue to expect 3G licensing in early 2009 with China Telecom launching first We continue to expect the timing of 3G licenses to be awarded by the government in early 2009. However, we also note that there have been frequent indefinite delays in 3G licensing (and we have been wrong in the past about the exact timing). In our view, both China Telecom and China Unicom should benefit from obtaining CDMA2000 and WCDMA licenses, but we are of the view that the biggest beneficiary will be China Unicom. TD-SCDMA: we continue to see neutral impact for China Mobile Investors and suppliers should disabuse themselves of notions that TD-SCDMA will be the albatross that will have an impact on China Mobile's operation. China Mobile's management, brand, network, subscriber base, and business models are second-to-none in the world and the other operators in China's telco space have a VERY long way to go to compete with China Mobile. Moreover, its long-term expansion strategy is based not just on urban consumers but will happen in rural areas of China that are not going to be affected by 3G for some time.
Source:3g.co.uk ,Nokia to launch Chinese Ovi Store, TD-SCDMA smartphone by the end of 2009 (2009-7-3) ,ZTE & Huawei to replace Datang¨s TD-SCDMA kit in Guangzhou for China (2009-7-1) ,China Mobile's TD-SCDMA Services off to a Slow Start (2009-6-25) ,China Mobile Publishes Latest TD-SCDMA Tender Ratings (2009-6-17) ,China Mobile to build 85,000 TD base stations in 2009 (2009-6-16) ,China Wants TD-SCDMA to Take 20% of 3G Market by 2020 (2009-6-11) ,China Mobile To Invest CNY20 Billion In TD-SCDMA Network Expansion In Guangxi (2009-6-10) ,Key Taiwan telcos may adopt China's TD-SCDMA (2009-6-8) ,ST-Ericsson's acquisition of TD-SCDMA pioneer, pays off (2009-5-27) ,China Mobile in Android, TD-SCDMA handset deals (2009-5-27) ,ST-Ericsson and China Mobile to Bring TD-SCDMA to the Mass Market (2009-5-26) ,Five handset makers qualify as China Mobile TD-SCDMA suppliers with MediaTek handset chips (2009-5-20) ,China Mobile and SARFT to launch TD-SCDMA+CMMB netbooks as early as July (2009-5-20) ,China Mobile launches TD-SCDMA R&D program (2009-5-18) ,Foreign players must offer TD-SCDMA industry access to overseas markets and handset designs (2009-5-14) ,MediaTek chips selected by LG, ZTE for China Mobile TD-SCDMA bidding (2009-5-13) ,3G service launched in Tibet (2009-5-12) ,Local Chinese Suppliers like ZTE are leading the Chinese 3G infrastructure market (2009-5-11) ,Eight players bidding for China Mobile TD-SCDMA project (2009-5-5) ,China Mobile to Launch TD-SCDMA Phones in May (2009-5-4) |
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